Friday, December 28, 2012

NFL Week 17: Win, Spread, Over/Under and Game Score Predictions

Welcome Back to The Sports Savant's Weekly NFL Picks, Week 17 Edition!

It's the final week of the NFL regular season and it's been another very successful season of picks for The Sports Savant!  Based on my current record to win, it looks like I will come up just short of last year's impossible record of 180-87 through the Superbowl, which bested every NFL expert published.  It will take an unprecedented run through the next week and the playoffs to match the loss column from 2011 now that I have 85 losses on the year as of Week 16.

What has been an big plus this year over last, is my winning record against the spread, like I did last year, but the real surprise has been my scorching hot success against the over/under, which I finished with a losing record in 2011.  This year if you had put money on all my picks, you made more money than last year's picks with my increased record in the spread and over/under picks.


Before we look at my picks for Week 17, let's take a look at how last weeks picks shaped up and my overall records for the 2012 NFL season...

*WEEK 16 RESULTS*

Winner: 11-5 
Winner w/ Spread: 9-6-1
Over/Under: 10-6
---------------------------------------------
Trifecta: 6
Strikeouts: 1
Perfect Team Score Predictions: 2 (Jacksonville, Washington)
Perfect Game Score Predictions: 0
___________


*2012 Overall Record*
Winner: 154-85-1 (.644)
Winner w/ Spread: 121-113-6 (.517)
Over/Under: 124-109-7 (.532)
--------------------------------------------

Trifecta: 62
Strikeouts: 42
Perfect Team Score Predictions: 28   [Week 1]: New England  [Week 2]: Indianapolis, San Francisco [Week 3]: Chicago, Washington, New York(A)  [Week 4]: Cleveland, Philadelphia  [Week 5]: Green Bay, Seattle, San Diego  [Week 7]: St. Louis, Tampa Bay  [Week 9]: Miami, Tennessee, Green Bay, Arizona  [Week 11]: Detroit, Carolina, Tampa Bay, Indianapolis 
[Week 12]: San Francisco  [Week 13]:Chicago, Houston [Week 14]: Detroit  [Week 15]: Miami 
[Week 16]: Jacksonville, Washington
Perfect Game Score Predictions: 2   [Week 9]: Arizona @ Green Bay  [Week 11]: Carolina v. Tampa Bay

NOTE: The team with a negative number in parenthesis "(-3)" next to their name is the favorite to win the matchup and the number represents how many points the favorite has to score more than the underdog to count as a winning bet.  The over/under for the game is represented by a number in parenthesis with the letters o and u "(o/u 46)".  The number represents the amount of points you are wagering whether or not the two team's combined score will be in excess of or short of.  Official betting lines courtesy of www.footballlocks.com 

Don't forget to visit therealsportssavant.blogspot.com to check my game picks or right here on lastwordonsports.com at The Sports Savant channel.  And now for my Week 17, NFL picks...


New York(A) @ Buffalo(-3.5)  (o/u 39)
Savant Spread Pick: Buffalo and the points to win ~ 23-13
Over/Under Pick: Under





Miami @ New England(-10)  (o/u 46)
Savant Spread Pick: New England and the points to win ~ 27-17
Over/Under Pick: Under





Baltimore @ Cincinnati(-2.5)  (o/u 41)
Savant Spread Pick: Cincinnati and the points to win ~ 23-20
Over/Under Pick: Over





Cleveland @ Pittsburgh(-10)  (o/u 34.5)
Savant Spread Pick: Pittsburgh and the points to win ~ 23-10
Over/Under Pick: Under





Indianapolis v. Houston(-7)  (o/u 46.5)
Savant Spread Pick: Indianapolis with the points; Houston to win ~ 23-17
Over/Under Pick: Under





Jacksonville @ Tennessee(-4)  (o/u 42)
Savant Spread Pick: Jacksonville to win ~ 20-17
Over/Under Pick: Under





Philadelphia @ New York(N)(-7.5)  (o/u 46)
Savant Spread Pick: New York and the points to win ~ 27-17
Over/Under Pick: Under





Dallas @ Washington(-3)  (o/u 48.5)
Savant Spread Pick: Washington and the points to win ~ 27-24
Over/Under Pick: Over





Detroit v. Chicago(-3)  (o/u 44.5)
Savant Spread Pick: Chicago and the points to win ~ 21-16
Over/Under Pick: Under





Minnesota v. Green Bay(-3)  (o/u 44.5)
Savant Spread Pick: Minnesota to win ~ 26-21
Over/Under Pick: Over





Tampa Bay @ Atlanta(-5)  (o/u 45.5)
Savant Spread Pick: Atlanta and the points to win ~ 20-16
Over/Under Pick: Under





Carolina @ New Orleans(-5)  (o/u 54)
Savant Spread Pick: New Orleans and the points to win ~ 28-20
Over/Under Pick: Under





Kansas City @ Denver(-16)  (o/u 42)
Savant Spread Pick: Kansas City with the points; Denver to win ~ 27-13
Over/Under Pick: Under





Oakland @ San Diego(-9.5)  (o/u 39.5)
Savant Spread Pick: Oakland with the points; San Diego to win ~ 21-17
Over/Under Pick: Under





Arizona @ San Francisco(-16.5)  (o/u 39)
Savant Spread Pick: San Francisco and the points to win ~ 31-10
Over/Under Pick: Over





St. Louis @ Seattle(-11)  (o/u 41)
Savant Spread Pick: Seattle and the points to win ~ 27-13
Over/Under Pick: Under

Thursday, December 20, 2012

NFL Week 16: Win, Spread, Over/Under and Game Score Predictions


Welcome Back to The Sports Savant's Weekly NFL Picks, Week 16 Edition!


Before we look at my picks for Week 16, let's take a look at how last weeks picks shaped up and my overall records for the 2012 NFL season...

*WEEK 15 RESULTS*

Winner: 11-5 
Winner w/ Spread: 10-6
Over/Under: 5-11
---------------------------------------------
Trifecta: 4
Strikeouts: 3
Perfect Team Score Predictions: 1 (Miami)
Perfect Game Score Predictions: 0
___________


*2012 Overall Record*
Winner: 143-80-1 (.641)
Winner w/ Spread: 112-107-5 (.511)
Over/Under: 114-103-7 (.525)
--------------------------------------------

Trifecta: 56
Strikeouts: 41
Perfect Team Score Predictions: 26   [Week 1]: New England  [Week 2]: Indianapolis, San Francisco [Week 3]: Chicago, Washington, New York(A)  [Week 4]: Cleveland, Philadelphia  [Week 5]: Green Bay, Seattle, San Diego  [Week 7]: St. Louis, Tampa Bay  [Week 9]: Miami, Tennessee, Green Bay, Arizona  [Week 11]: Detroit, Carolina, Tampa Bay, Indianapolis 
[Week 12]: San Francisco  [Week 13]:Chicago, Houston [Week 14]: Detroit  [Week 16]: Miami
Perfect Game Score Predictions: 2   [Week 9]: Arizona @ Green Bay  [Week 11]: Carolina v. Tampa Bay

NOTE: The team with a negative number in parenthesis "(-3)" next to their name is the favorite to win the matchup and the number represents how many points the favorite has to score more than the underdog to count as a winning bet.  The over/under for the game is represented by a number in parenthesis with the letters o and u "(o/u 46)".  The number represents the amount of points you are wagering whether or not the two team's combined score will be in excess of or short of.  Official betting lines courtesy of www.footballlocks.com

LOCKS: Games that have a "*LOCK*" logo next to the score are my spread lock picks of the week.  I choose four games each week that I feel will be a lock to win the spread bet.  If I have an underdog winning against a favorite and it is a *LOCK* pick, it means it is a lock that the favorite will not cover the spread, not a lock that the underdog wins the game.

Don't forget to visit therealsportssavant.blogspot.com to check my game picks or right here on lastwordonsports.com at The Sports Savant channel.  And now for my Week 16, NFL picks...



Detroit v. Atlanta(-3.5)  (o/u 50.5)
Savant Spread PickAtlanta and the points to win ~ 24-17
Over/Under Pick: Under






Tennessee @ Green Bay(-12.5)  (o/u 44.5)

Savant Spread PickGreen Bay and the points to win ~ 35-17
Over/Under Pick: Over






Oakland @ Carolina(-8.5)  (o/u 46)
Savant Spread PickCarolina and the points to win ~ 26-13 *LOCK*
Over/Under Pick: Under






Buffalo @ Miami(-4.5)  (o/u 41.5)
Savant Spread Pick: Miami and the points to win ~ 23-16
Over/Under Pick: Under






Cincinnati @ Pittsburgh(-3.5)  (o/u 41.5)
Savant Spread PickPittsburgh and the points to win ~ 20-14
Over/Under Pick: Under







Jacksonville v. New England(-14.5)  (o/u 50.5)
Savant Spread PickJacksonville with the points; New England to win ~ 30-16
Over/Under Pick: Over






Kansas City v. Indianapolis(-7)  (o/u 41.5)
Savant Spread PickIndianapolis and the points to win ~ 31-16 *LOCK*
Over/Under Pick: Over






New Orleans @ Dallas(-2.5)  (o/u 52.5)
Savant Spread PickNew Orleans to win ~ 31-27
Over/Under Pick: Over





Philadelphia v. Washington(-6.5)  (o/u 45)
Savant Spread PickPhiladelphia with the points; Washington to win ~ 27-21
Over/Under Pick: Over






St. Louis @ Tampa Bay(-3)  (o/u 44)
Savant Spread PickTampa Bay and the points to win ~ 20-13
Over/Under Pick: Under






Baltimore v. New York(N)(-2.5)  (o/u 47)
Savant Spread PickNew York and the points to win ~ 23-20
Over/Under Pick: Under






Minnesota @ Houston(-7.5)  (o/u 45)
Savant Spread PickMinnesota with the points; Houston to win ~ 26-20
Over/Under Pick: Over






Cleveland @ Denver(-12)  (o/u 44)
Savant Spread PickCleveland with the points; Denver to win ~ 28-16 *LOCK*
Over/Under Pick: Under






Arizona v. Chicago(-6.5)  (o/u 36.5)
Savant Spread PickChicago and the points to win ~ 17-10
Over/Under Pick: Under






San Francisco @ Seattle(-1)  (o/u 39.5)
Savant Spread PickSan Francisco to win ~ 24-21 *LOCK*
Over/Under Pick: Over






San Diego @ New York(A)(-2.5)  (o/u 37.5)
Savant Spread PickSan Diego to win ~ 14-13
Over/Under Pick: Under

Thursday, December 13, 2012

NFL Week 15: Win, Spread, Over/Under and Game Score Predictions

Welcome Back to The Sports Savant's Weekly NFL Picks, Week 15 Edition!


Before we look at my picks for Week 15, let's take a look at how last weeks picks shaped up and my overall records for the 2012 NFL season...


*WEEK 14 RESULTS*

Winner: 10-6 
Winner w/ Spread: 6-10
Over/Under: 9-7
---------------------------------------------
Trifecta: 3
Strikeouts:3
Perfect Team Score Predictions: 1 (Detroit)
Perfect Game Score Predictions: 0
___________


*2012 Overall Record*
Winner: 132-75-1 (.637)
Winner w/ Spread: 102-101-5 (.502)
Over/Under: 109-92-7 (.542)
--------------------------------------------

Trifecta: 52
Strikeouts: 38
Perfect Team Score Predictions: 25   [Week 1]: New England  [Week 2]: Indianapolis, San Francisco [Week 3]: Chicago, Washington, New York(A)  [Week 4]: Cleveland, Philadelphia  [Week 5]: Green Bay, Seattle, San Diego  [Week 7]: St. Louis, Tampa Bay  [Week 9]: Miami, Tennessee, Green Bay, Arizona  [Week 11]: Detroit, Carolina, Tampa Bay, Indianapolis 
[Week 12]: San Francisco  [Week 13]:Chicago, Houston [Week 14]: Detroit
Perfect Game Score Predictions: 2   [Week 9]: Arizona @ Green Bay  [Week 11]: Carolina v. Tampa Bay

NOTE: The team with a negative number in parenthesis "(-3)" next to their name is the favorite to win the matchup and the number represents how many points the favorite has to score more than the underdog to count as a winning bet.  The over/under for the game is represented by a number in parenthesis with the letters o and u "(o/u 46)".  The number represents the amount of points you are wagering whether or not the two team's combined score will be in excess of or short of.  Official betting lines courtesy of www.footballlocks.com

LOCKS: Games that have a "*LOCK*" logo next to the score are my spread lock picks of the week.  I choose four games each week that I feel will be a lock to win the spread bet.  If I have an underdog winning against a favorite and it is a *LOCK* pick, it means it is a lock that the favorite will not cover the spread, not a lock that the underdog wins the game.

Don't forget to visit therealsportssavant.blogspot.com to check my game picks or right here on lastwordonsports.com at The Sports Savant channel.  And now for my Week 15, NFL picks...



Philadelphia v. Cincinnati(-5)  (o/u 45)
Savant Spread Pick: Cincinnati and the points ~ 24-17
Over/Under Pick: Under











Chicago v. Green Bay(-3)  (o/u 43)
Savant Spread Pick: Green Bay and the points ~ 19-14
Over/Under Pick: Under






New York(N) @ Atlanta(-1.5)  (o/u 51)
Savant Spread Pick: New York(N) to win ~ 27-23
Over/Under Pick: Under






Tampa Bay @ New Orleans(-3.5)  (o/u 54)
Savant Spread Pick: New Orleans and the points to win ~ 31-24
Over/Under Pick: Over






Minnesota @ St. Louis(-3)  (o/u 38.5)
Savant Spread Pick: Minnesota to win ~ 20-13
Over/Under Pick: Under






Cleveland v. Washington(-1.5)  (o/u 37)
Savant Spread Pick: Cleveland to win ~ 20-17
Over/Under Pick: Under






Jacksonville @ Miami(-7)  (o/u 37.5)
Savant Spread Pick: Miami and the points to win ~ 24-16
Over/Under Pick: Over






Baltimore v. Denver(-2.5)  (o/u 48)
Savant Spread Pick: Denver and the points to win ~ 27-20
Over/Under Pick: Under






Indianapolis @ Houston(-9)  (o/u 48)
Savant Spread Pick: Indianapolis with the points; Houston to win ~ 28-21
Over/Under Pick: Over






Carolina @ San Diego(-3)  (o/u 45)
Savant Spread Pick: Carolina to win ~ 23-20

Over/Under Pick: Under





Buffalo v. Seattle(-5.5)  (o/u 43)
Savant Spread Pick: Seattle and the points to win ~ 20-14
Over/Under Pick: Under






Arizona v. Detroit(-5.5)  (o/u 44)
Savant Spread Pick: Detroit and the points to win ~ 31-10
Over/Under Pick: Under






Dallas v. Pittsburgh(-1.5)  (o/u 44)
Savant Spread Pick: Pittsburgh and the points to win ~ 20-17
Over/Under Pick: Under






Kansas City @ Oakland(-3)  (o/u 44)
Savant Spread Pick: Oakland and the points to win ~ 27-17
Over/Under Pick: Under






San Francisco New England(-5)  (o/u 46.5)
Savant Spread Pick: San Francisco with the points; New England to win ~ 24-20
Over/Under Pick: Under






New York(A) Tennessee(-2)  (o/u 41.5)
Savant Spread Pick: Tennessee and the points to win ~ 21-17
Over/Under Pick: Under

Thursday, December 6, 2012

NFL Week 14: Win, Spread, Over/Under and Game Score Predictions

Welcome Back to The Sports Savant's Weekly NFL Picks, Week 14 Edition!




Before we look at my picks for Week 14, let's take a look at how last weeks picks shaped up and my overall records for the 2012 NFL season...


*WEEK 13 RESULTS*

Winner: 8-8 
Winner w/ Spread: 6-10
Over/Under: 5-11
---------------------------------------------
Trifecta: 1
Strikeouts: 5
Perfect Team Score Predictions: 2 (Chicago, Houston)
Perfect Game Score Predictions: 0
___________


*2012 Overall Record*
Winner: 122-69-1 (.638)
Winner w/ Spread: 96-91-5 (.513)
Over/Under: 100-85-7 (.541)
--------------------------------------------

Trifecta: 49
Strikeouts: 35
Perfect Team Score Predictions: 21   [Week 1]: New England  [Week 2]: Indianapolis, San Francisco [Week 3]: Chicago, Washington, New York(A)  [Week 4]: Cleveland, Philadelphia  [Week 5]: Green Bay, Seattle, San Diego  [Week 7]: St. Louis, Tampa Bay  [Week 9]: Miami, Tennessee, Green Bay, Arizona  [Week 11]: Detroit, Carolina, Tampa Bay, Indianapolis 
[Week 12]: San Francisco  [Week 13]:Chicago, Houston
Perfect Game Score Predictions: 2   [Week 9]: Arizona @ Green Bay  [Week 11]: Carolina v. Tampa Bay

NOTE: The team with a negative number in parenthesis "(-3)" next to their name is the favorite to win the matchup and the number represents how many points the favorite has to score more than the underdog to count as a winning bet.  The over/under for the game is represented by a number in parenthesis with the letters o and u "(o/u 46)".  The number represents the amount of points you are wagering whether or not the two team's combined score will be in excess of or short of.  Official betting lines courtesy of www.footballlocks.com

LOCKS: Games that have a "*LOCK*" logo next to the score are my spread lock picks of the week.  I choose four games each week that I feel will be a lock to win the spread bet.  If I have an underdog winning against a favorite and it is a *LOCK* pick, it means it is a lock that the favorite will not cover the spread, not a lock that the underdog wins the game.

Don't forget to visit therealsportssavant.blogspot.com to check my game picks or right here on lastwordonsports.com at The Sports Savant channel.  And now for my Week 14, NFL picks...




Oakland v. Denver(-10)  (o/u 48.5)
Savant Spread Pick: Oakland with points; Denver to win ~ 28-20
Over/Under Pick: Under






Baltimore @ Washington(-2.5)  (o/u 47.5)
Savant Spread Pick: Baltimore to win ~ 27-24
Over/Under Pick: Over






Kansas City @ Cleveland(-7)  (o/u 38)
Savant Spread Pick: Kansas City with points; Cleveland to win ~ 17-16
Over/Under Pick: Under






San Diego @ Pittsburgh(-8)  (o/u 39.5)
Savant Spread Pick: Pittsburgh and the points to win ~ 23-13
Over/Under Pick: Under






Tennessee @ Indianapolis(-5.5)  (o/u 46.5)
Savant Spread Pick: Indianapolis and the points to win ~ 26-20
Over/Under Pick: Under






Jacksonville v. New York(A)(-3)  (o/u 38.5)
Savant Spread Pick: New York and the points to win ~ 16-10
Over/Under Pick: Under






Minnesota v. Chicago(-3)  (o/u 39)
Savant Spread Pick: Minnesota to win ~ 20-17
Over/Under Pick: Under






Carolina v. Atlanta(-3.5)  (o/u 48)
Savant Spread Pick: Carolina to win ~ 23-21
Over/Under Pick: Under






Philadelphia @ Tampa Bay(-7.5)  (o/u 47.5)
Savant Spread Pick: Tampa Bay and the points to win ~ 31-20
Over/Under Pick: Over






St. Louis @ Buffalo(-3)  (o/u 42.5)
Savant Spread Pick: St. Louis with points; Buffalo to win ~ 24-23
Over/Under Pick: Over






Dallas @ Cincinnati(-3.5)  (o/u 46)
Savant Spread Pick: Cincinnati and the points to win ~ 24-21
Over/Under Pick: Under






Miami @ San Francisco(-11)  (o/u 38.5)
Savant Spread Pick: Miami with points; San Francisco to win ~ 23-17
Over/Under Pick: Over






New Orleans @ New York(N)(-5)  (o/u 53)
Savant Spread Pick: New York and the points to win ~ 31-24
Over/Under Pick: Over






Arizona @ Seattle(-10)  (o/u 35.5)
Savant Spread Pick: Seattle and the points to win ~ 23-10
Over/Under Pick: Under






Detroit @ Green Bay(-6.5)  (o/u 48.5)
Savant Spread Pick: Detroit with points; Green Bay to win ~ 26-20
Over/Under Pick: Under






Houston @ New England(-3.5)  (o/u 51)
Savant Spread Pick: Houston to win ~ 27-23
Over/Under Pick: Under