With the return of the real referees, the games in Week 4 we're a little easier to predict. The replacement refs were adding an unknown element to every pick and causing a lot of perfectly good prediction analysis look bad with their sometimes erroneous penalty calls and ball spotting blunders. The Savant is back to form though going 10-5 in last week's games to win. The spread still has much to be improved but there is still a lot of time left in the year to get it turned around. It can be no coincidence also that last week I had four trifectas to two strikeouts where in the replacement ref games I was striking out at a rate I am not accustomed too, but everyone was for that matter with how unpredictable games were with the backup refs at the helm.
So with that comes NFL Week 5. I'm looking to get back on track with the spread and continue my dominance in picking the winner and also continue a nice Over/Under record going forward. Before we look at my Week 5 picks, lets take a look at my Week 4 results...
*WEEK 4 RESULTS*
Winner: 10-5 :-)
Winner w/ Spread: 6-9 :-(
Over/Under: 9-6 :-)
---------------------------------------------
Trifecta: 4
Strikeouts: 2
Perfect Team Score Predictions: 2 (Cleveland, Philadelphia)
Perfect Game Score Predictions: 0
___________
*2012 Overall Record*
Winner: 38-25 (.603)
Winner w/ Spread: 25-36-2 (.410)
Over/Under: 31-30-2 (.508)
--------------------------------------------
Trifecta: 11
Trifecta: 11
Strikeouts: 14
Perfect Team Score Predictions: 8 [Week 1]: New England [Week 2]: Indianapolis, San Francisco [Week 3]: Chicago, Washington, New York(A) [Week 4]: Cleveland, Philadelphia
Perfect Game Score Predictions: 0
NOTE:
The team with a negative number in parenthesis "(-3)" next to their
name is the favorite to win the matchup and the number represents how
many points the favorite has to score more than the underdog to count as
a winning bet. The over/under for the game is represented by a number
in parenthesis with the letters o and u "(o/u 46)". The number
represents the amount of points you are wagering whether or not the two
team's combined score will be in excess of or short of. Official betting lines courtesy of www.footballlocks.com
LOCKS: Games that have a "*LOCK*" logo next to the score are my spread lock picks of the week. These are the games I feel strongest about the outcome of the game versus the spread.
LOCKS: Games that have a "*LOCK*" logo next to the score are my spread lock picks of the week. These are the games I feel strongest about the outcome of the game versus the spread.
Don't forget to check therealsportssavant.blogspot.com every week to check my game picks and check the previous week's picks for individual game pick results! And now I present my Week 3, Sports Savant, NFL picks...
St. Louis v. Arizona(-2) (o/u 39.5)
Savant Spread Pick: St. Louis to win ~ 19-16
Over/Under Pick: Under
Washington v. Atlanta(-3) (o/u 51)
Savant Spread Pick: Atlanta and the points to win ~ 31-24
Over/Under Pick: Over
Philadelphia @ Pittsburgh(-3.5) (o/u 43)
Savant Spread Pick: Philadelphia to win ~ 20-17
Over/Under Pick: Under
Indianapolis v. Green Bay(-7) (o/u 48)
Savant Spread Pick: Green Bay and the points to win ~ 27-16 *LOCK*
Over/Under Pick: Under
Cleveland @ New York(N)(-8.5) (o/u 44)
Savant Spread Pick: Cleveland with the points; New York(N) to win ~ 23-17
Over/Under Pick: Under
Tennessee @ Minnesota(-5.5) (o/u 44)
Savant Spread Pick: Minnesota and the points to win ~ 23-17
Over/Under Pick: Under
Miami @ Cincinnati(-3) (o/u 45)
Savant Spread Pick: Miami to win ~ 19-17
Over/Under Pick: Under
Kansas City v. Baltimore(-6.5) (o/u 46.5)
Savant Spread Pick: Baltimore and the points to win ~ 27-20 *LOCK*
Over/Under Pick: Over
Seattle @ Carolina(-3) (o/u 43.5)
Savant Spread Pick: Seattle to win ~ 16-14
Over/Under Pick: Under
Jacksonville v. Chicago(-5.5) (o/u 41)
Savant Spread Pick: Chicago and the points to win ~ 24-13 *LOCK*
Over/Under Pick: Under
Denver @ New England(-6.5) (o/u 52)
Savant Spread Pick: Denver with the points; New England to win ~ 27-20
Over/Under Pick: Under
Buffalo @ San Francisco(-9.5) (o/u 45)
Savant Spread Pick: San Francisco and the points to win ~ 34-20 *LOCK*
Over/Under Pick: Over
San Diego @ New Orleans(-3.5) (o/u 53)
Savant Spread Pick: New Orleans and the points to win ~ 29-24
Over/Under Pick: Over
New York(A) v. Houston(-8) (o/u 41)
Savant Spread Pick: Houston and the points to win ~ 27-16
Over/Under Pick: Under
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