Thursday, September 25, 2014

2014 NFL Season - Week 4: Win, Spread, Over/Under and Game Score Predictions

Welcome Back to The Sports Savant's Weekly NFL Picks 2014: Week 4 Edition!

It was a really nice bounce-back week for The Sports Savant in Week 3 posting positive records in all three prediction categories for each game.  My 11-5 clip in picking the straight up winner has brought me up around the season long win percentage I'm trying to stay around now at 30-18(.625) overall.  A respectable 9-7 in the spread and over/under categories are always welcome.  What was most surprising from my week is that I tied a personal best 7 Trifectas on the week!  This means that I correctly predicted the winner, winner with spread and over/under all correctly for 7 of the 16 games played last week.  In addition to that, for 4th time in my short NFL prognosticating career picking NFL games on record, I made a Perfect Team Score Prediction when I perfectly picked the score of the Seattle Seahawks and Denver Broncos game last week.  Now that's being on fire!

This week presents some challenging games to pick so Week 4 could be a big hitter for my records.  Teams are starting to show us who and what they are going to be for the season so more analysis is being put into my picks as is the case near the beginning of each NFL season I pick all of the games.

Below is my overall record for picking games to win, against the spread and the over/under including trifecta predictions, strikeouts and my perfect team score and perfect game score predictions for the 2014 season.


Winner: 11-5 
Winner w/ Spread: 9-7
Over/Under: 9-7
Trifecta: 7
Strikeouts: 3
Perfect Team Score Predictions: 3 (Chicago, Denver, Seattle)
Perfect Game Score Predictions: 1 (Denver @ Seattle)

*2014 Overall Record*
Winner: 30-18-0 (.625)
Winner w/ Spread: 25-23-0 (.500)
Over/Under: 25-23-0 (.500)

Trifecta: 12
Strikeouts: 7
Perfect Team Score Predictions: 5   [Week 1]: New Orleans, Cincinnati [Week 2]: Green Bay
[Week 3]: Chicago, Denver, Seattle
Perfect Game Score Predictions: 1 [Week 3]: Denver @ Seattle

NOTE: The team with a negative number in parenthesis "(-3)" next to their name is the favorite to win the matchup and the number represents how many points the favorite has to score more than the underdog to count as a winning bet.  The over/under for the game is represented by a number in parenthesis with the letters o and u "(o/u 46)".  The number represents the amount of points you are wagering whether or not the two team's combined score will be in excess of or short of.  Official betting lines courtesy of

Here are The Sports Savant picks for Week 4...

New York(N) @ Washington(-3.5)  (o/u 46)
Savant Spread Pick: Washington and the points to win ~ 27-21
Over/Under Pick: Over

Oakland v. Miami(-4)  (o/u 41)
Savant Spread Pick: Oakland to win ~ 19-17
Over/Under Pick: Under

Chicago v. Green Bay(-2)  (o/u 50)
Savant Spread Pick: Chicago to win ~ 24-21
Over/Under Pick: Under

Buffalo @ Houston(-3)  (o/u 41)
Savant Spread Pick: Houston and the points to win ~ 17-13
Over/Under Pick: Under

Tennessee @ Indianapolis(-8)  (o/u 46)
Savant Spread Pick: Indianapolis and the points to win ~ 31-21
Over/Under Pick: Over

Carolina @ Baltimore(-3.5)  (o/u 40.5)
Savant Spread Pick: Carolina with the points; Baltimore to win ~ 26-23
Over/Under Pick: Over

New York(A) v. Detroit(-2.5)  (o/u 53)
Savant Spread Pick: Detroit and the points to win ~ 27-16
Over/Under Pick: Under

Tampa Bay @ Pittsburgh(-7.5)  (o/u 45)
Savant Spread Pick: Pittsburgh and the points to win ~ 26-13
Over/Under Pick: Under

Jacksonville @ San Diego(-13)  (o/u 45)
Savant Spread Pick: San Diego and the points to win ~ 34-13
Over/Under Pick: Over

Philadelphia @ San Francisco(-5)  (o/u 50.5)
Savant Spread Pick: Philadelphia with the points; San Francisco to win ~ 27-23
Over/Under Pick: Under

Minnesota v. Atlanta(-3)  (o/u 46.5)
Savant Spread Pick: Atlanta and the points to win ~ 26-20
Over/Under Pick: Under

Dallas v. New Orleans(-3)  (o/u 53.5)
Savant Spread Pick: New Orleans and the points to win ~ 32-27
Over/Under Pick: Over

Kansas City @ New England(-3.5)  (o/u 45)
Savant Spread Pick: Kansas City with the points;
New England to win ~ 20-17
Over/Under Pick: Under