Week 12 was a regrettable week of picks to win for The Sports Savant. With a 8-8 record picking the winner last week, it ties the worst mark I've had in my time picking every NFL game, but thankfully it continued my streak of never having finished under .500 in any week of picks to win since I began picking NFL games. What was most disheartening about Week 12 was a number of very close games that went against my picks including a one point loss for the Bucs vs. the Falcons and that ridiculous 4th and 29 that the Ravens converted with two minutes left in regulation to extend the game and eventually win against the Chargers in OT who I had picked to win.
The silver lining though was a nice record with the spread. 9-5-2 is a real solid record against the spread and makes lots of money if done consistently. I'm proud to say my spread picks have been over .500 for several weeks in a row so if you've been playing my spread picks, you've been doing quite well. A fair showing at 8-8 in the over/under was good enough to keep my red hot 56.2 percentage on the year, but I'm always looking to improve and improving is the plan for Week 13!
Before we look at my picks for Week 12, let's take a look at how last weeks picks shaped up and my overall records for the 2012 NFL season...
*WEEK 12 RESULTS*
Winner: 8-8
Winner w/ Spread: 9-5-2
Over/Under: 8-8
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Trifecta: 3
Strikeouts: 4
Perfect Team Score Predictions: 1 (San Francisco)
Perfect Game Score Predictions: 0
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*2012 Overall Record*
Winner: 114-61-1 (.651)
Winner w/ Spread: 90-81-5 (.526)
Over/Under: 95-74-7 (.562)
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Trifecta: 48
Trifecta: 48
Strikeouts: 30
Perfect Team Score Predictions: 21 [Week 1]: New England [Week 2]: Indianapolis, San Francisco [Week 3]: Chicago, Washington, New York(A) [Week 4]: Cleveland, Philadelphia [Week 5]: Green Bay, Seattle, San Diego [Week 7]: St. Louis, Tampa Bay [Week 9]: Miami, Tennessee, Green Bay, Arizona [Week 11]: Detroit, Carolina, Tampa Bay, Indianapolis
[Week 12]:San Francisco
[Week 12]:San Francisco
Perfect Game Score Predictions: 2 [Week 9]: Arizona @ Green Bay [Week 11]: Carolina v. Tampa Bay
NOTE:
The team with a negative number in parenthesis "(-3)" next to their
name is the favorite to win the matchup and the number represents how
many points the favorite has to score more than the underdog to count as
a winning bet. The over/under for the game is represented by a number
in parenthesis with the letters o and u "(o/u 46)". The number
represents the amount of points you are wagering whether or not the two
team's combined score will be in excess of or short of. Official
betting lines courtesy of www.footballlocks.com
LOCKS: Games that have a "*LOCK*" logo next to the score are my spread lock picks of the week. I choose four games each week that I feel will be a lock to win the spread bet. If I have an underdog winning against a favorite and it is a *LOCK* pick, it means it is a lock that the favorite will not cover the spread, not a lock that the underdog wins the game.
LOCKS: Games that have a "*LOCK*" logo next to the score are my spread lock picks of the week. I choose four games each week that I feel will be a lock to win the spread bet. If I have an underdog winning against a favorite and it is a *LOCK* pick, it means it is a lock that the favorite will not cover the spread, not a lock that the underdog wins the game.
Don't forget to visit therealsportssavant.blogspot.com to check my game picks or right here on lastwordonsports.com at The Sports Savant channel. And now for my Week 13, NFL picks...
New Orleans @ Atlanta(-3.5) (o/u 51)
Savant Spread Pick: New Orleans to win ~ 27-24
Over/Under Pick: Over
Seattle @ Chicago(-3.5) (o/u 37.5)
Savant Spread Pick: Chicago and the points to win ~ 17-10
Over/Under Pick: Under
Minnesota @ Green Bay(-8) (o/u 51)
Savant Spread Pick: Minnesota with the points; Green Bay and the points to win ~ 27-20
Over/Under Pick: Over
St. Louis v. San Francisco(-7) (o/u 40)
Savant Spread Pick: San Francisco and the points to win ~ 27-17
Over/Under Pick: Over
Arizona @ New York(A)(-4.5) (o/u 37)
Savant Spread Pick: Arizona to win ~ 17-16
Over/Under Pick: Under
Kansas City v. Carolina(-3) (o/u 40.5)
Savant Spread Pick: Carolina and the points to win ~ 20-13
Over/Under Pick: Under
Indianapolis @ Detroit(-5) (o/u 51)
Savant Spread Pick: Indianapolis with the points; Detroit to win ~ 27-23
Over/Under Pick: Under
Jacksonville @ Buffalo(-6) (o/u 44.5)
Savant Spread Pick: Jacksonville with the points; Buffalo to win ~ 21-17
Over/Under Pick: Under
Miami v. New England(-7.5) (o/u 51.5)
Savant Spread Pick: New England and the points to win ~ 31-20
Over/Under Pick: Under
Tennessee v. Houston(-6) (o/u 47)
Savant Spread Pick: Tennessee with the points; Houston to win ~ 24-20
Over/Under Pick: Under
Tampa Bay @ Denver(-7) (o/u 50.5)
Savant Spread Pick: Denver and the points to win ~ 27-17
Over/Under Pick: Under
Pittsburgh @ Baltimore(-8) (o/u 39.5)
Savant Spread Pick: Baltimore and the points to win ~ 23-13
Over/Under Pick: Under
Oakland v. Cleveland(-1.5) (o/u 41.5)
Savant Spread Pick: Oakland to win ~ 16-13
Over/Under Pick: Under
San Diego v. Cincinnati(-1.5) (o/u 46)
Savant Spread Pick: Cincinnati and the points to win ~ 24-19
Over/Under Pick: Under
Philadelphia @ Dallas(-10) (o/u 43)
Savant Spread Pick: Philadelphia with the points; Dallas to win ~ 26-17
Over/Under Pick: Under
Washington @ New York(N)(-2.5) (o/u 51)
Savant Spread Pick: Washington to win ~ 27-26
Over/Under Pick: Over
