Thursday, September 20, 2012

NFL 2012 - Betting Lines - Picks To Win, Versus the Spread and the Over/Under: Week 3

Welcome Back to The Sports Savant's Weekly NFL Picks!

The NFL just continues to surprise us with unfathomable outcomes through just the second week of play.  In Week 2 we had some rare performances from teams and individuals.  This was a week where we saw Tom Brady and the Patriots lose a home opener for the first time in their stadiums history and scored under 20 points since before anyone can remember.  The Cardinals, who beat those Patriots won a road game on the east coats after going winless on the east coast a year ago.  Miami somehow became an offensive force behind their rookie AB, scoring 35 points in a game, matching their high score from 2011 when they scored 35 once.  We saw Dallas go on the road and get blown out by a rookie QB and score only 7 points after beating the defending Super Bowl champion New York Giants last week.  For the first time ever, Peyton Manning had 3 interceptions in a single quarter.  The Saints are 0-2 and their are only six teams left in the NFL that are undefeated after two games!  What a crazy year of the NFL it has been already and we still have 15 weeks of the regular season to go. 

As for my game and score predictions for Week 2, it was all about a tale of two halves of the day making all the difference in my NFL picks.  What started as a shocking and abysmal day of picks had a rapid rebound in the late and Monday games.  At the end of the 1:00PM EST games(and the Thursday game previous), my picks record was a mediocre 6-4 to win, an awful  2-6-2 versus the spread, and a bad 4-6 with the over/under.  Above all, the one thing I pride in my picks is always getting at least one pick right out of the three per game, but in these first 10 games I had recorded two dreadful strikeouts, something I have very rarely experienced.  It was looking like a calamity of a week for my NFL picks to the likes I had never seen.  I tried to stay positive and remember that I had such an amazing run of winning picks all of last year for a reason. I needed to trust in myself and my late game selections to at least even my picks for the week out.  Boy, did they ever.

In the 4:00PM EST games, Sunday night and eventual Monday night games, my picks came roaring back posting a 5-1 record to win, an amazing 5-1 versus the spread and 4-1-1 record in the over/under.  In those six games I tallied 3 game pick trifectas and would have had a 4th if not for a push in the over/under in the Lions/49ers game.  In all, the horrible first part of my day and consequent barnstorm of winning picks in the late games evened my day out to a nice 11-5 record to win and respectable 7-7-2 and 8-7-1 records versus the spread and over/under.  I feel like that late charge of picks is just the momentum I need to get my Sports Savant prognostication in full effect.  I'm feeling a big week of winning picks for Week 3.


*WEEK 2 RESULTS*

Winner: 11-5   :-)
Winner w/ Spread: 7-7-2  :-/
Over/Under: 8-7-1 :-)
---------------------------------------------
Trifecta: 3
Strikeouts: 2
Perfect Team Score Predictions: 2 (Indianapolis, San Francisco)
Perfect Game Score Predictions: 0

___________


*2012 Overall Record*
Winner: 20-12 (.625)
Winner w/ Spread: 13-17-2 (.433)
Over/Under: 15-15-2 (.500)
--------------------------------------------


Trifecta: 5
Strikeouts: 7
Perfect Team Score Predictions: 3   [Week 1]: New England  [Week 2]: Indianapolis, San Francisco
Perfect Game Score Predictions: 0


NOTE: The team with a negative number in parenthesis "(-3)" next to their name is the favorite to win the matchup and the number represents how many points the favorite has to score more than the underdog to count as a winning bet.  The over/under for the game is represented by a number in parenthesis with the letters o and u "(o/u 46)".  The number represents the amount of points you are wagering whether or not the two team's combined score will be in excess of or short of.  Official betting lines courtesy of www.footballlocks.com

Don't forget to check therealsportssavant.blogspot.com every week to check my game picks and check the previous week's picks for individual game pick results!  And now I present my Week 3, Sports Savant, NFL picks...




New York(N) @ Carolina(-2.5)  (o/u 49.5)
Savant Spread Pick: Carolina and the points to win ~ 34-29
Over/Under Pick: Over

---
Result: New York(N) 36  Carolina 7 / Total Points 43 /
Winner: -  Spread: -  O/U: -
*Strikeout*




 St. Louis @ Chicago(-7.5)  (o/u 44)
Savant Spread Pick: St. Louis with the points; Chicago to win ~ 23-17
Over/Under Pick: Under

---
Result: St. Louis 6  Chicago 23 / Total Points 29 /
Winner: +  Spread: -  O/U: +




 Tampa Bay @ Dallas(-8)  (o/u 46.5)
Savant Spread Pick: Tampa Bay with the points; Dallas to win ~ 24-17
Over/Under Pick: Under

---
Result: Tampa Bay 10  Dallas 16 / Total Points 26 /
Winner: +  Spread: +  O/U: +
*Trifecta*



 Minnesota v. San Francisco(-6.5)  (o/u 43)
Savant Spread Pick: San Francisco and the points to win ~ 31-21
Over/Under Pick: Over

---
Result: Minnesota 24  San Francisco 13 / Total Points 37 /
Winner: -  Spread: -  O/U: -
*Strikeout*



 Tennessee v. Detroit(-3.5)  (o/u 47)
Savant Spread Pick: Detroit and the points to win ~ 24-20
Over/Under Pick: Under

---
Result: Tennessee 44  Detroit 41 / Total Points 85 /
Winner: -  Spread: -  O/U: -
*Strikeout*



 Cincinnati @ Washington(-3)  (o/u 49)
Savant Spread Pick: Washington and the points to win ~ 31-27
Over/Under Pick: Over

---
Result: Cincinnati 38  Washington 31 / Total Points 69 /
Winner: -  Spread: -  O/U: +




 Miami v. New York(A)(-2.5)  (o/u 40)
Savant Spread Pick: New York(A) and the points to win ~ 23-16
Over/Under Pick: Under

---
Result: New York(N) 36  Carolina 7 / Total Points 43 /
Winner: +  Spread: +  O/U: -




Kansas City @ New Orleans(-9)  (o/u 53)
Savant Spread Pick: New Orleans and the points to win ~ 34-24
Over/Under Pick: Over

---
Result: Kansas City 27  New Orleans 24 / Total Points 51 /
Winner: -  Spread: -  O/U: -
*Strikeout*



Cleveland v. Buffalo(-3)  (o/u 44)
Savant Spread Pick: Buffalo and the points to win ~ 27-20
Over/Under Pick: Over

---
Result: Cleveland 14  Buffalo 24 / Total Points 38 /
Winner: +  Spread: +  O/U: -




Jacksonville @ Indianapolis(-3)  (o/u 42)
Savant Spread Pick: Indianapolis and the points to win ~ 21-17
Over/Under Pick: Under

---
Result: Jacksonville 22  Indianapolis 17 / Total Points 39 /
Winner: -  Spread: -  O/U: +




Arizona v. Philadelphia(-3.5)  (o/u 43)
Savant Spread Pick: Arizona to win ~ 19-17
Over/Under Pick: Under

---
Result: Arizona 27  Philadelphia 6 / Total Points 33 /
Winner: +  Spread: +  O/U: +
*Trifecta*




Atlanta @ San Diego(-3)  (o/u 47.5)
Savant Spread Pick: Atlanta to win ~ 31-28
Over/Under Pick: Over

---
Result: Atlanta 27  San Diego 3 / Total Points 30 /
Winner: +  Spread: +  O/U: -




Denver v. Houston(-2)  (o/u 45.5)
Savant Spread Pick: Houston and the points to win ~ 24-20
Over/Under Pick: Under

---
Result: Denver 25  Houston 31 / Total Points 56 /
Winner: +  Spread: +  O/U: -



Oakland v. Pittsburgh(-4.5)  (o/u 44.5)
Savant Spread Pick: Pittsburgh and the points to win ~ 27-16
Over/Under Pick: Under

---
Result: Oakland 34  Pittsburgh 31 / Total Points 65 /
Winner: -  Spread: -  O/U: -
*Strikeout*


New England @ Baltimore(-3)  (o/u 49)
Savant Spread Pick: Baltimore and the points to win ~ 27-23
Over/Under Pick: Over

---
Result: New England 30  Baltimore 31 / Total Points 61 /
Winner: +  Spread: -  O/U: +



Seattle v. Green Bay(-3)  (o/u 46.5)
Savant Spread Pick: Green Bay and the points to win ~ 23-19
Over/Under Pick: Under

---
Result: Seattle 14  Green Bay 12 / Total Points 26 /
Winner: -  Spread: -  O/U: +

1 comment:

  1. Nice picks. I got my free picks at Dynamitepicks. They have great experts picks for any game.

    ReplyDelete