Saturday, December 31, 2011

NFL 2011 - Betting Lines - Picks To Win, Versus the Spread and the Over/Under: Week 17

Welcome to the 2011 season finale!  It's been a great year for football and an even better year for my NFL picks!  I've correctly guessed 160 games out of 240 giving me more wins and a higher win percentage than the entire ESPN NFL expert panel and also the Inside the NFL on Showtime NFL expert panel.  I'm so far ahead, in fact, that it would take my worst week of the year in week 17 for any of them to catch up. :-)  I'd say it's been a pretty successful first year of picking every game of the season in the NFL for me in 2011.  I'm proud to say that I had no week this year under or even at .500 and finished a week as high as 15-1.  I couldn't have imagined at the beginning of this year that I could finish with more than 170 wins, but with just an 11-5 mark this week, I will have done so.  My picks will continue into the playoffs and will start including player stat predictions in addition to the game and score picks. 

Winner: 10-6   :-)
Winner w/ Spread: 8-8  :-/
Over/Under: 10-5-1 :-D
Trifecta: 4
Strikeouts: 2
Perfect Team Score Predictions: 1 (Green Bay)
Perfect Game Score Predictions: 0


*2011 Overall Record*
Winner: 160-80 (.667)
Winner w/ Spread: 118-114-8 (.509)
Over/Under: 117-118-5 (.498)
Trifecta: 53
Strikeouts: 32
Perfect Team Score Predictions: 32   [Week 1]: Atlanta, St. Louis, Detroit  [Week 2]: Arizona, Tampa Bay, Minnesota  [Week 4]: San Diego  [Week 5]: Jacksonville, Denver  [Week 6]: Atlanta, Oakland  [Week 7]: Chicago  [Week 8]: Houston, Carolina, Denver, Cleveland  [Week 9]: Oakland, Tennessee  [Week 10]: Miami  [Week 11]: Oakland  [Week 12]: Tampa Bay, Chicago, Seattle  [Week 13]: Buffalo, Washington, Houston, New England  [Week 14]: Houston, Carolina  [Week 15]: Dallas, New York(A)  [Week 16]: Green Bay
Perfect Game Score Predictions: 2   [Week 1] Atlanta @ St. Louis  [Week 2]: Tampa Bay @ Minnesota

NOTE: The team with a negative number in parenthesis "(-3)" next to their name is the favorite to win the matchup and the number represents how many points the favorite has to score more than the underdog to count as a winning bet.  The over/under for the game is represented by a number in parenthesis with the letters o and u "(o/u 46)".  The number represents the amount of points you are wagering whether or not the two team's combined score will be in excess of or short of.  Official betting lines courtesy of

My picks for Week 17...

Washington @ Philadelphia(-8.5)  (o/u 45.5)
Savant Spread Pick: Philadelphia and the points to win ~ 26-14
Over/Under Pick:Under

Tampa Bay @ Atlanta(-10.5)  (o/u 45.5)
Savant Spread Pick: Atlanta and the points to win ~ 37-17
Over/Under Pick: Over

St. Louis vs. San Francisco(-10.5)  (o/u 35.5)
Savant Spread Pick: San Francisco and the points to win ~ 23-7
Over/Under Pick: Under

Chicago @ Minnesota(-1.5)  (o/u 41)
Savant Spread Pick: Minnesota and the points to win ~ 27-13
Over/Under Pick: Under

Green Bay vs. Detroit(-4)  (o/u 43)
Savant Spread Pick: Detroit and the points to win ~ 31-21
Over/Under Pick: Over

Dallas @ New York(N)(-3)  (o/u 47)
Savant Spread Pick: New York and the points to win ~ 29-24
Over/Under Pick: Over

Carolina @ New Orleans(-7.5)  (o/u 54.5)
Savant Spread Pick: Carolina with the points; New Orleans to win ~ 27-20
Over/Under Pick: Under

Houston vs. Tennessee(-2.5)  (o/u 39)
Savant Spread Pick: Tennessee and the points to win ~ 20-17
Over/Under Pick: Under

Cincinnati vs. Baltimore(-2)  (o/u 39)
Savant Spread Pick: Cincinnati to win ~ 22-17
Over/Under Pick: Under

Cleveland vs. Pittsburgh(-6.5)  (o/u 34)
Savant Spread Pick: Pittsburgh and the points to win ~ 24-10
Over/Under Pick: Over

Indianapolis @ Jacksonville(-3.5)  (o/u 37.5)
Savant Spread Pick: Indianapolis with the points; Jacksonville to win ~ 19-16
Over/Under Pick: Under

New York(A) @ Miami(-3)  (o/u 39)
Savant Spread Pick: Miami and the points to win ~ 23-19
Over/Under Pick: Over

Buffalo @ New England(-10.5)  (o/u 50)
Savant Spread Pick: New England and the points to win ~ 38-23
Over/Under Pick: Over

San Diego @ Oakland(-3)  (o/u 48.5)
Savant Spread Pick: San Diego to win ~ 24-21
Over/Under Pick: Under

Kansas City @ Denver(-3)  (o/u 37)
Savant Spread Pick: Kansas City to win ~ 16-10
Over/Under Pick: Under

Seattle @ Arizona(-3)  (o/u 41)
Savant Spread Pick: Seattle to win ~ 19-17
Over/Under Pick: Under

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