Thursday, October 11, 2012

NFL Week 6: Win, Spread and Over/Under Predictions

Welcome to another week of The Sports Savant NFL Picks, Week 6 Edition!

After a sluggish first few weeks(thanks mostly to the unpredictability of the replacement referee debacle), the Sports Savant has been heating up on NFL picks each week and was absolutely on fire in Week 5!  I finished with an amazing 12 wins, 9 wins against the spread, and 8 wins(plus a tie) in 14 games this week. If you made your wagers based on my predictions, you made a substantial amount of money.  Add to those totals six trifectas to one strikeout and three perfect team scores, it was a NFL week of picks to remember.

This week presents its challenges and tough matchups, but now that I've got my mojo going, I'm feeling another big week of picks.  I'm going against the grain this week by picking four underdogs to win(Cleveland, Indianapolis, Minnesota, Seattle) and I even have a couple of favorites not covering the spread in wins(Miami, San Francisco).

Before we look at my picks for Week 6, lets take a look at my record last week and my overall record for NFL picks in 2012... 


Winner: 12-2   :-)
Winner w/ Spread: 9-5  :-)
Over/Under: 8-5-1 :-)
Trifecta: 6
Strikeouts: 1
Perfect Team Score Predictions: 3 (Green Bay, Seattle, San Diego)
Perfect Game Score Predictions: 0

*2012 Overall Record*
Winner: 50-27 (.649)
Winner w/ Spread: 34-41-2 (.453)
Over/Under: 39-35-3 (.527)

Trifecta: 17
Strikeouts: 15
Perfect Team Score Predictions: 11   [Week 1]: New England  [Week 2]: Indianapolis, San Francisco [Week 3]: Chicago, Washington, New York(A)  [Week 4]: Cleveland, Philadelphia  [Week 5]: Green Bay, Seattle, San Diego
Perfect Game Score Predictions: 0

NOTE: The team with a negative number in parenthesis "(-3)" next to their name is the favorite to win the matchup and the number represents how many points the favorite has to score more than the underdog to count as a winning bet.  The over/under for the game is represented by a number in parenthesis with the letters o and u "(o/u 46)".  The number represents the amount of points you are wagering whether or not the two team's combined score will be in excess of or short of.  Official betting lines courtesy of

LOCKS: Games that have a "*LOCK*" logo next to the score are my spread lock picks of the week.  I choose four games each week that I feel will be a lock to win the spread bet.  If I have an underdog winning against a favorite and it is a *LOCK* pick, it means it is a lock that the favorite will not cover the spread, not a lock that the underdog wins the game.

Don't forget to visit every week to check my game picks and check the previous week's picks for individual game pick results!  And now I present my Week 6, Sports Savant, NFL picks...

Tennessee v. Pittsburgh(-6.5)  (o/u 44)
Savant Spread Pick: Pittsburgh and the points to win ~ 34-13
Over/Under Pick: Over

Cleveland v. Cincinnati(-2)  (o/u 43)
Savant Spread PickCleveland to win ~ 20-17
Over/Under Pick: Under

Indianapolis @ New York(A)(-3.5)  (o/u 43.5)
Savant Spread PickIndianapolis to win ~ 23-17
Over/Under Pick: Under

Kansas City @ Tampa Bay(-4)  (o/u 40)
Savant Spread PickTampa Bay and the points to win ~ 27-20 
Over/Under Pick: Over

Oakland @ Atlanta(-9)  (o/u 48.5)
Savant Spread PickAtlanta and the points to win ~ 31-17 *LOCK*
Over/Under Pick: Under

Dallas @ Baltimore(-3.5)  (o/u 44.5)
Savant Spread PickBaltimore and the points to win ~ 26-20 *LOCK*
Over/Under Pick: Over

Detroit Philadelphia(-3.5)  (o/u 47.5)
Savant Spread PickPhiladelphia and the points to win ~ 24-20
Over/Under Pick: Over

St. Louis @ Miami(-4.5)  (o/u 38)
Savant Spread PickSt. Louis and the points; Miami to win ~ 16-13
Over/Under Pick: Under

Seattle v. New England(-3.5)  (o/u 43.5)
Savant Spread PickSeattle to win ~ 21-20
Over/Under Pick: Under

Buffalo @ Arizona(-4)  (o/u 43.5)
Savant Spread Pick: Arizona and the points to win ~ 27-20 *LOCK*
Over/Under Pick: Over

Minnesota @ Washington(-2)  (o/u 44)
Savant Spread PickMinnesota to win ~ 31-28
Over/Under Pick: Over

New York(N) v. San Francisco(-6.5)  (o/u 45.5)
Savant Spread Pick: New York(N) with the points; San Francisco to win ~ 23-17
Over/Under Pick: Under

Green Bay @ Houston(-3.5)  (o/u 47.5)
Savant Spread PickHouston and the points to win ~ 29-24
Over/Under Pick: Over

Denver @ San Diego(Pick)  (o/u 49)
Savant Spread PickDenver to win ~ 31-23
Over/Under Pick: Over *LOCK*

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